Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.036080 0.042026 0.048569 0.056290 0.065143 0.074964 0.086674
2025-08-24 0.027491 0.035321 0.044729 0.056821 0.071903 0.090045 0.113466
2025-08-31 0.021033 0.029475 0.040434 0.055605 0.075949 0.102160 0.138337
2025-09-07 0.017780 0.026882 0.039521 0.058172 0.084773 0.121089 0.174097
2025-09-14 0.014664 0.023774 0.037225 0.058256 0.089960 0.135532 0.205419
2025-09-21 0.011927 0.020640 0.034261 0.056724 0.092345 0.145999 0.232029
2025-09-28 0.010010 0.018397 0.032214 0.056135 0.095847 0.158229 0.262314
2025-10-05 0.009156 0.017749 0.032573 0.059354 0.105620 0.180987 0.311108
2025-10-12 0.008261 0.016850 0.032335 0.061459 0.113692 0.201719 0.358617
2025-10-19 0.006992 0.015023 0.030159 0.059804 0.115006 0.211239 0.388267
2025-10-26 0.006080 0.013716 0.028724 0.059252 0.118111 0.223976 0.424462
2025-11-02 0.005185 0.012281 0.026814 0.057500 0.118716 0.232224 0.453326
2025-11-09 0.004444 0.011055 0.025172 0.056112 0.119965 0.241992 0.486395
2025-11-16 0.003934 0.010254 0.024287 0.056138 0.123985 0.257328 0.531354
2025-11-23 0.003384 0.009250 0.022807 0.054689 0.124809 0.266555 0.565452
2025-11-30 0.003175 0.009042 0.023074 0.057088 0.133956 0.293087 0.636014
2025-12-07 0.002837 0.008440 0.022335 0.057106 0.137950 0.309521 0.687703
2025-12-14 0.002458 0.007649 0.021012 0.055570 0.138292 0.318356 0.724485
2025-12-21 0.002178 0.007075 0.020137 0.054976 0.140686 0.331733 0.771964
2025-12-28 0.002102 0.007076 0.020741 0.058126 0.152184 0.365942 0.867186
2026-01-04 0.001982 0.006923 0.020910 0.060185 0.161287 0.395623 0.954934
2026-01-11 0.001731 0.006310 0.019730 0.058561 0.161167 0.404396 0.996752
2026-01-18 0.001550 0.005880 0.018994 0.058018 0.163684 0.419457 1.054107